DOLLAR HIGHER, GOLD FUTURES PRICES DECREASING

Gold futures prices fell along with the strengthening U.S. dollar against the euro so eroded the demand for gold as an investment alternative. Gold futures contract for February delivery fell 0.1 percent to 1596.70 per troy ounce (equivalent to 31.1 grams) at 1:59 PM at the Comex in New York on Monday (19/12/2011) local time.

The strengthening U.S. dollar not the euro zone because of the condition is still bad. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said, a substantial risk to the economy of Europe is still there. The euro also fell 0.5 percent. It will take much time for investors to regain confidence in gold as a protector of the crisis, given the magnitude of shocks in recent years.

Nevertheless, Andrey Kryuchenkov, an analyst at VTB Capital in London, Monday, remained optimistic gold will perform well in the long run. “Gold will suffer from the recent turmoil because of the liquidity of U.S. dollars, but in the long run gold will remain solid,” said Kryuchenkov.

According to him, an accommodative monetary policy in the world will continue to secure the role of gold as an inflation protector.

ABOUT A INVESTMENTS PORTOFOLIO

Investment Portfolio consists of two materials, namely: PORTFOLIO Suggested and MARKET OUTLOOK. It would be useful if you invest through a portfolio. Portfolio is an amalgamation of more than two types of financial instruments of different types. Merger is useful to minimize the trade-off does not achieve the results we hoped for, and approaches used to manage the risk of DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) – the point of purchase on a regular basis.

Investing with managing a portfolio tailored to your risk profile as a whole is very wise. Your risk profile this year could be different from the previous year. Assess your risk profile regularly to get the payoff expected and consistent with the level of tolerable risk profile according to your risk.

Notice of financial instruments in your portfolio, should be transferred to some other financial instruments tailored to the risk profile, the number of investment funds available and the expected payoff? Furthermore, with economic or market conditions at this time, do the selection of financial instruments, and its products, especially non-banking products, such as stocks, should also pay attention to the type of industry.

SAFE HAVEN INVESTMENT INSTRUMENT

It’s name is just a safe haven, it means it is a protection or a safe refuge. Just as in a state of war or chaos, the citizens will flee to a place, where it is considered the most secure.

In the market, too, the term safe haven or safe assets often arise. This refers to the rush of investors toward investment instruments that are considered safe, especially in the current market turmoil.

In the past year, gold is considered a safe haven. This is due to the position of gold as a precious metal that the world demand, and supply rare and intrinsically valuable.

Gold is considered as an investment destination, whose value will be difficult to degenerate because of the uniqueness of this precious metal. Swiss francs, in the last three years is also considered as a safe haven, because the policy of the Swiss economy is very careful, strong exports, and debt position which is not harmful like its neighbors in the euro zone.

With a strong economic policy, Swiss francs or less the same with the German mark, which in the past has always been strong and prolonged stable. This is also due to economic policy and productivity of Germans are commendable, even though up to now plagued with fellow colleagues euro zone, such as Greece.

Now comes the position of the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. In the last 10 years the U.S. dollar exchange rate fell sharply against the various currencies of the world due to economic bankruptcy.

Olivier Blanchard, IMF senior economist, has warned that the state of the U.S. economy and the eurozone are now no better than in 2008.

Then why is the U.S. dollar, which also strengthened against the euro, is considered as a safe haven? The U.S. economy will continue to be burdened in the future debt payments. Rating agency Standard & Poor’s had already downgraded the long-term U.S. debt from AAA to AA +. That is, the risk on debt payments in the future the U.S. is no longer as strong as before.

Therefore, the position of the U.S. dollar as a safe haven is very dubious and not worthy of trust for granted.